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AI · Rand.org

Equilibrium Strategies on the Path to Artificial General Intelligence

By Philip RootJune 1, 2026 · 1 min read

The author models the geopolitical race toward artificial general intelligence as a series of strategic interactions between two primary actors—the United States and China—using game-theoretic frameworks inspired by Cold War–era nuclear competition.

The possible emergence of artificial general intelligence (AGI) promises both awesome opportunities and not-yet-quantified risks. The arrival of new paths to AGI capabilities has been considered anal…

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